Conditional Density Estimation

This study evaluates whether frozen tabular foundation models can function as probabilistic photometric-redshift estimators for quasars …

Conditional density estimation (CDE) – recovering the full conditional distribution of a response given tabular covariates …

Most machine learning tools aim at creating good predictions for new samples. However, obtaining 100% is not feasible in most problems, …

Here we propose a fully nonparametric approach to conditional density estimation that reformulates CDE as a non-parametric orthogonal series problem where the expansion coefficients are estimated by regression. By taking such an approach, one can efficiently estimate conditional densities and not just expectations in high dimensions by drawing upon the success in high-dimensional regression. We show applications to photometric galaxy data, Twitter data, and line-of-sight velocities in a galaxy cluster.

In some applications (e.g., in cosmology and economics), the regression E[Z|x] is not adequate to represent the association between a …