Rafael Izbicki
Rafael Izbicki
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Machine Learning
Dengue nowcasting in Brazil by combining official surveillance data and Google Trends information
Y. Xiao
,
G. Soares
,
L. Bastos
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
P. Moraga
January, 2025
Plos One Neglected Tropical Diseases
PDF
Likelihood-Free Frequentist Inference: Bridging Classical Statistics and Machine Learning for Reliable Simulator-Based Inference
We introduce Likelihood-Free Frequentist Inference (LF2I), a framework that bridges classical statistics and machine learning for valid confidence sets in complex, likelihood-free settings. LF2I provides confidence sets with near finite-sample validity and offers practical diagnostics for empirical coverage, ensuring reliable scientific inference without costly Monte Carlo or bootstrap methods.
N. Dalmasso
,
L. Masserano
,
D. Zhao
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
A. B. Lee
June, 2024
Electronic Journal of Statistics
Preprint
PDF
Code
Classification under Nuisance Parameters and Generalized Label Shift in Likelihood-Free Inference
The paper introduces a novel approach to classifying events under generalized label shift by framing classification as hypothesis testing, which leads to valid uncertainty quantification. This is demonstrated through applications in biology and astroparticle physics.
L. Masserano
,
A. Shen
,
M. Doro
,
T. Dorigo
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
A. B. Lee
May, 2024
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (ICML Track)
PDF
Distribution-Free Conformal Joint Prediction Regions for Neural Marked Temporal Point Processes
V. Dheur
,
T. Bosser
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
S. Ben Taieb
February, 2024
Machine Learning
PDF
Is augmentation effective in improving prediction in imbalanced datasets?
G. O. Assunção
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
M. O. Prates
February, 2024
Machine Learning
PDF
Monitoring Viral Infections in Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Patients in Brazil
J. F. A. Silva
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
L. S. Bastos
,
G. P. Soares
January, 2024
Developments in Statistical Modelling
PDF
Local uncertainty maps for land-use/land-cover classification without remote sensing and modeling work using a class-conditional conformal approach
D. Valle
,
R. Leite
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
C. Silva
,
L. Haneda
January, 2024
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
PDF
Flexible conditional density estimation for time series
G. Grivol
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
A. A. Okuno
,
R. B. Stern
January, 2024
Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics
Preprint
The Quasar Catalogue for S-PLUS DR4 (QuCatS) and the estimation of photometric redshifts
L. Nakazono
,
R. R. Valença
,
G. Soares
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
Ž. Ivezić
January, 2024
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
PDF
Detecting Distributional Differences in Labeled Sequence Data with Application to Tropical Cyclone Satellite Imagery
T. McNeely
,
G. Vincente
,
K. M. Wood
,
Rafael Izbicki
,
A. B. Lee
August, 2023
Annals of Applied Statistics (Selected for The Best of AOAS invited paper session at JSM 2023)
Preprint
PDF
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