Sports

What if the forecaster knew? Assessing forecast reliability via simulation
M. H. de A. Inácio, Rafael Izbicki, D. L. Lopes, M. A. Diniz, L. E. B. Salasar, J. Poloniato
January, 2022 TEMA.
PDF
Comparing probabilistic predictive models applied to football
We propose two Bayesian multinomial-Dirichlet models to predict the final outcome of football (soccer) matches and compare them to …
M. A. Diniz, Rafael Izbicki, D. L. Lopes, L. E. B. Salasar
January, 2019 Journal of the Operational Research Society.
PDF